Tropical Storm JAVIER Advisory Sa, 09.08.

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
2100 UTC MON AUG 08 2016

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

P ABREOJOS     34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)  17(24)  12(36)   X(36)   X(36)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 43   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SAN JOSE CABO  34 95   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

LA PAZ         34 31  37(68)   1(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
LA PAZ         50  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

LORETO         34  X   4( 4)  12(16)   4(20)   3(23)   X(23)   X(23)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

GUAYMAS        34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LOS MOCHIS     34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CULIACAN       34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH