Tropical Storm ORLENE Advisory Çar, 14.09.

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE ORLENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
2100 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ORLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ISLA CLARION   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 115W       34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 120W       34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 120W       34 53  24(77)  12(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
20N 120W       50  4  20(24)  26(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
20N 120W       64  X   4( 4)   9(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)  31(45)   1(46)   X(46)
20N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   X(13)   X(13)
20N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  16(23)   1(24)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN