Tropical Storm JAVIER Advisory Pzt, 08.08.

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
2100 UTC SUN AUG 07 2016

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  10(13)   6(19)   X(19)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  1  31(32)  33(65)   7(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   2( 2)  15(17)   6(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  1  26(27)  29(56)   7(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LA PAZ         34  1   6( 7)  18(25)  22(47)   6(53)   X(53)   X(53)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)
LA PAZ         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

LORETO         34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)  14(23)   3(26)   X(26)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)

CULIACAN       34  1   4( 5)   5(10)   7(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)

MAZATLAN       34  1   5( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

SAN BLAS       34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

P VALLARTA     34  7   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  1   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

ISLAS MARIAS   34 25   3(28)   2(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH