Tropical Storm EARL Advisory Per, 04.08.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM EARL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052016
2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2016

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)

FRONTERA MX    34  1   3( 4)  24(28)   5(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
FRONTERA MX    50  X   X( X)  10(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
FRONTERA MX    64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MERIDA MX      34  3   4( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

COZUMEL MX     34  7   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

BELIZE CITY    34 80   9(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
BELIZE CITY    50 33  26(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
BELIZE CITY    64  8   9(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GUANAJA        34 94   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
GUANAJA        50 22   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECASTER AVILA