Tropical Storm MARIA Advisory Cts, 16.09.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)
PUERTO PLATA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
PUERTO PLATA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  21(24)
SANTO DOMINGO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
SANTO DOMINGO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  22(24)  23(47)
PONCE PR       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  15(21)
PONCE PR       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)  27(46)
AGUADILLA PR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)
AGUADILLA PR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  26(29)  25(54)
SAN JUAN PR    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  15(24)
SAN JUAN PR    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)

VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  31(36)  20(56)
VIEQUES PR     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  14(27)
VIEQUES PR     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  35(42)  16(58)
SAINT THOMAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)  13(28)
SAINT THOMAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   7(14)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  34(43)  15(58)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)  10(28)
SAINT CROIX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)  36(57)   8(65)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  21(24)   6(30)
SAINT MAARTEN  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  31(34)  30(64)   4(68)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  21(30)   4(34)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   2(15)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  37(41)  22(63)   3(66)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  14(29)   2(31)
BARBUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   1(14)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  41(46)  21(67)   2(69)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)  16(33)   2(35)
ANTIGUA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)   1(16)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  47(55)  14(69)   1(70)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)  10(34)   1(35)
GUADELOUPE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   6(15)   X(15)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)  19(41)   4(45)
AVES           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)   2(21)
AVES           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  41(50)   9(59)   X(59)
DOMINICA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)   6(26)   1(27)
DOMINICA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   1(11)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)  31(44)   4(48)   1(49)
MARTINIQUE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   3(20)   1(21)
MARTINIQUE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  19(28)   4(32)   X(32)
SAINT LUCIA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)   X(11)
SAINT LUCIA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  13(18)   2(20)   1(21)
SAINT VINCENT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
SAINT VINCENT  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)   8(25)   2(27)   X(27)
BARBADOS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
BARBADOS       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

GRENADA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)

TRINIDADTOBAGO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

PORT OF SPAIN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
  

Fırtına rotaları Cts, 16.09.

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