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OnlineTahmin’in Tahminlerde Kullandığı Kaynaklar Nelerdir?OnlineTahmin; hava tahminlerini, ABD’de en çok kullanılan (GFS)verileriyle, geliştirilmiş IMÜ sistemi(MOS "Model-Output-Statistic") ile yapar. IMÜ sistemi Bonn üniversitesi meteoroloji bölümü tarafından geliştirilmiştir. IMÜ Sistemi Nedir?Istatistiksel-Model-Üretimi (IMÜ) sistemi hava tahmin verilerini birleştir ve kabaca kaydedilmiş verileri küçük bölgelere ayrıntılarıyla orantılı şekilde dağıtır. Temel amaç, eski kaydedilen verilerin bölgelerdeki değişimlerini daha kolay saptamaktır. En son olarak geliştirilmiş, IMÜ sistemi daha kolay hava tahmini yapılır. Sıcaklık değerlerinde kullanılan zaman aralıkları ve bölge tahminlerinde kullanılan işaretler nelerdir?Tahmin edilen en yüksek sıcaklık değerleri, sabah 6 ila akşam 6 arasında olan, 12 saatlik bir aralığı ifade eder. Tahmin edilen en düşük sıcaklık değerleri, akşam 6 ila sabah 6 arasında olan, 12 saatlik bir aralığı ifade eder. Sabah sembolü sabah 12 ve öğle 12 arasını, öğleden sonra sembolleri ise öğle 12 ve akşam 6, gece sembolleri ise akşam 6 sabah gece 12’yi ifade eder. Hangi sıklıkla tahminler ve son durumlar güncellenir?Son hava durumu ve uydu görüntüleri her 30 dakikada bir güncellenirken, radar görüntüleri her 15 dakikada bir güncellenmektedir. Hava Tahmin haritaları günde 8 defa güncellenirken, güncellemeler Türkiye saati ile 03:00 ya da 04:00’te başlar. |
